Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t truly know what it can take.
Thousands and thousands of Tesla automobiles are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the 12 months, we now have been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to come back clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that route in the course of the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO mentioned when requested about Tesla attaining its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:
We aren’t 100% positive. HW4 has a number of instances the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes a whole lot of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some likelihood that HW3 doesn’t obtain the protection degree that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may probably not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nevertheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is presently utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 regardless that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you should obtain Tesla’s promised degree 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about inconceivable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain growing software program to resolve self-driving, which continues to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He mentioned that Tesla would supply a pc improve if Tesla discovered for positive that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we’ll improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without spending a dime. And we now have designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand acknowledged, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it presently exist.
He mentioned it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digital camera harnesses. The entire laptop can be a unique kind issue that may make it laborious to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 automobiles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, regardless that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger concern.
Electrek’s Take
I believe the extra crucial remark is that this:
“We don’t truly know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply is not any for the explanations acknowledged above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it ought to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That ought to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He mentioned yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the 12 months.
Now, he’s assured that it will occur subsequent 12 months, and we should always imagine him. Why?
The info are that Tesla was improper about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was improper about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is rather seemingly improper about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it received’t know for positive till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” bundle and saying it can occur subsequent 12 months?
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